They are not project specific, they are mostly economic, and the data is very public
The default graduation KPIs consider several factors:
- Minimum 50% of the supply circulating (which will take ~14 months)
- Market Cap above $15M (at $8M market cap ($1M in the bonding curve) we turn off minting)
- Enough liquidity in DEXs to handle the supply.
- (For the first few) Sign off from the q/acc team to protect community from unknowns.
However, we are early in experimenting with this mechanism and have gotten feedback that this is too strict so we are currently working on an accelerated graduation plan that can allow teams to change from time based vesting for their token unlock to a KPI based unlock for the Team’s token. This is still early in it’s design though, and no promises it will validated enough to make it into the first season.
Another great question! I would personally advise to hodl and count it as treasury diversification, but we will need to get advice on this from some AAEs about the ideal address to set in the protocol for Arbitrum’s hodlings. I would imagine the AF will hold the funds and it would be managed by some treasury committee… but the initial tokens are locked for a year and then streamed for a year… so there is a lot of time to figure out the management.
Wow! You really get it! Thank you for diving in so deep to this, it’s pretty complicated but you really seem to understand the mechanism.
Yes, not every team is going to be a winner… some projects will fail and the tokens won’t be worth much… but as you said that is standard for small cap investments (and grant programs). The projects have 6 months to prove token demand before the buyers in the q/acc round have their tokens start to unlock, and a year before the larger team allocations start to unlock.
The best thing to do is to look at the quality of our projects and decide if you think they are worth betting on.