State of Arbitrum - Q1 2025
L2 dominance is currently a two-horse race between Arbitrum One and Base. Arbitrum’s technical foundation, with upgrades such as Stylus, TimeBoost, and Stage 1 Security, has contributed to its position as the largest L2 by its total-value-secured (TVS). Despite Arbitrum’s technical achievements, the network (and largely the DAO) has failed to attract and retain builders convincingly.
Arbitrum’s DeFi market share (in TVL terms) peaked at around 5% in Q2/Q3 of 2023. Since then, that market share has steadily declined. Today, Arbitrum ranks 8th amongst all chains and second amongst Ethereum L2s, behind Base.
Base directly challenges Arbitrum’s Market Share amongst L2s.
Source: DeFiLlama
Further, as @momir_iosg shared in their ARB’s Wake-Up Call proposal, Arbitrum’s interest in retail sentiment and mindshare has declined significantly. Arbitrum largely missed the retail fervor spurred in the last 12 months, missing out on major retail narratives (social, AI, pump.fun and memes, etc.) and, more broadly, losing market share to alt-L1s and EVM chains. The DeFi ecosystem has suffered dramatically, positioning it just eighth in terms of TVL and at meaningful risk of dropping out of the 10 largest chains in the face of new incentivized chains (Sonic, Berachain, etc.) and incentivized alt-L1s (Sui, Aptos).
Arbitrum is facing increased competition from altEVMs and side chains.
Source: DeFiLlama
Fragmentation is partially responsible for stagnation in all L2 DeFi. This is increasingly evident as major chains look to interop to help address fragmentation.
Optimism is moving toward standardized and uniform governance to enable interop. Arbitrum’s vision supports freedom but opts for an intents-driven solution to power cross-chain swaps and transfers. If Interop is the future, Arbitrum One liquidity will serve as a strong moat for not just Arbitrum but also the entire Arbitrum ecosystem and Orbit stack.
ETH activity on Arbitrum has dwindled significantly since early 2024. Although Arbitrum has been the most successful among L2s at attracting liquid staking tokens (LSTs), wstETH reaching approximately 80K, the growth in this area has been modest, signaling a need for renewed focus on revitalizing ETH-based activities on the platform.
In the realm of stablecoins, the picture is mixed. USDC is experiencing growth, yet overall activity remains stagnant. ~$2B USDC is locked in the Hyperliquid bridge, and there is uncertainty about whether Hyperliquid will continue to support Arbitrum’s bridge exclusivity. Moreover, USDT has significantly declined $2.5B since December. In a bright spot, RWAs, thanks to STEP, have a cornerstone on Arbitrum, but lag significantly behind mainnet and L1s. A clear opportunity to take advantage of RWA financial products and services should be a bright spot for Arbitrum to explore further.
For BTC, Arbitrum’s position is also under pressure. The platform currently holds around 8K in WBTC and approximately 60 cbBTC. Although these figures have remained steady, Base’s cbBTC is now at parity with Arbitrum’s and appears poised to overtake it, especially with Coinbase supporting distribution for BTC loans. This further underlines the need to address a rising competitive landscape.
Objective 1: Arbitrum is the Home of Ethereum DeFi
This objective aligns the Arbitrum ecosystem and stakeholder base toward a singular focus on asserting Arbitrum’s dominance in DeFi.
Establishing best-in-class liquidity, yield products, and leverage products to build a strong economic foundation to attract future builders, institutions and Orbit chains, as well as non-financial builders (gaming, dePIN, etc.) who can leverage this liquidity (either on ArbOne or via interop) without worrying about bootstrapping it.
The below provides broad strokes, but to drive adoption, OpCo must lead by establishing clear metric-driven KPIs across these strategies, targeting TVL, slippage, utilization, and market share objectives across each vertical to ensure Arbitrum is on pace for ambitious growth and DeFi dominance.
Year 1 - Arbitrum’s DeFi Renaissance
Return To DeFi Fundamentals
Earmark 80% of the DAO’s allocated capital toward rebuilding a strong DeFi foundation focusing on:
- Big 3 Trading Liquidity (ETH, BTC, Stablecoins)
- Ensure Arbitrum One is Ethereum’s most attractive liquidity venue for these trading these assets.
- Optimizing for low-slippage and high utilization (both retail and whale users) across the following assets and asset-denominated derivatives:
- Stablecoins and dollar-denominated derivatives (RWAs, synthetic dollars, etc.)
- ETH and ETH-denominated derivatives (LST/LRTs, etc.)
- BTC and BTC-denominated derivatives (Wrapped Bitcoin, Bitcoin LSTs, etc.)
- Best-in-class Yield Products
- Arbitrum One is the most utilized liquidity base for stable yield strategies on Ethereum:
- Eth Staking Products
- Stablecoin/RWA Yield Vaults
- Yield aggregators and optimizers (Pendle, vaults, etc.)
- Arbitrum One is the most utilized liquidity base for stable yield strategies on Ethereum:
- Best-in-class Leverage Products
- Establish deep perpetual and derivatives liquidity that supports a diverse ecosystem of perpetual and leverage-based products
- Looping products
- Leveraged yield farming (Contango, etc.)
- Sophisticated trading products (Pair trade, basis trade, etc.)
- Establish deep perpetual and derivatives liquidity that supports a diverse ecosystem of perpetual and leverage-based products
Operational Alignment
- Operational Parity
- Reach operational parity with key Arbitrum-aligned entities (Arbitrum Foundation, Offchain Labs, Entropy, OpCo, etc.) to ensure that grant funding, venture investments, partnership deals, liquidity management, DAO-funded incentives, and protocol integrations are coordinated from initial financing to go-to-market execution.
- Fund Winners
- Align liquidity strategies with sustainability by focusing on supporting and bootstrapping winners rather than equality.
- Product-First Approach to Sustainable Liquidity
- Explore long-term and sophisticated liquidity strategies, including network-owned liquidity, aggressive and experimental liquidity solutions such as DAO-aligned liquid funds, auction markets (Royco, etc.), and quantitatively robust incentive programs.
Year 2 - Scaling Capital and Distribution
- Scaling Capital with Organic Growth:
Build on the foundation from Year 1 by doubling down on organic growth sectors across the ecosystem. This includes:- Expanding liquidity pools to reduce slippage and attract retail and institutional participants.
- Refining yield products based on performance metrics and user feedback to reinforce organic market growth.
- Deepening leverage product offerings to capture more sophisticated market segments, targeting capital efficiency.
- Establishing Robust Distribution Channels:
Create and expand distribution networks for Arbitrum DeFi products by:- Target 1-3 strategic distribution partnerships with CEX and/or Wallet integrations to increase product reach and distribution of Arbitrum’s financial ecosystem.
- Incubate sovereign and DAO-aligned on-chain and off-chain distribution mechanisms that ensure Arbitrum DeFi products are accessible across multiple channels.
- Implement marketing and incentive programs designed to drive user adoption and sustained retail usage to reinforce Arbitrum’s position as the go-to DeFi hub on Ethereum.
Objective 2: An Accountable Operational Framework
Arbitrum stakeholders are moving the DAO toward an “aligned-entity” roadmap, where Arbitrum-aligned entities are officially recognized to oversee the execution of specific tasks and programs on behalf of the DAO. To date, DAO execution provides scant evidence that this ambitious roadmap can be completed, nor are the established entities taking publicly visible roles to ensure they are aligned under a comprehensive strategy. Both steps must be formalized and operationally executed over the next year.
Year 1 – Establishing an Operational Structure
- Establish Operational Swim Lanes: Define focused scopes for each Arbitrum-aligned entity under the DAO’s funding purview, including clear assigned responsibilities and direct accountability for every stage in the partnership and investment lifecycle and sales pipeline.
- Strategic Alignment: Initiate decentralized goal-setting, performance review, and funding frameworks that provide structure for transparency and stakeholder confidence.
- Empower Lean Entities: Prioritize hiring well-paid executors to support OpCo and establishing new entities with clearly defined goals to ensure that early operational processes are robust, lean, and effective.
Year 2 – Scaling and Institutionalizing Accountability:
- Refine Operational Processes: Build on the foundational swim lanes by refining and scaling operational structures, ensuring continuous alignment between the DAO, Arbitrum Foundation, Offchain Labs, and other Arbitrum-aligned entities.
- Enhanced Decentralized Governance: Institutionalize the strategic frameworks established in Year 1, integrating regular performance reviews and decentralized goal-setting to align Arbitrum entities toward common objectives.
- Transparent Metrics & Reporting: Establish comprehensive metrics and reporting mechanisms to continuously monitor the execution of the aligned entity roadmap, ensuring that accountability and transparency are maintained as the framework scales.
Objective 3: Aligning ARB with Arbitrum IP
ARB’s current role is primarily confined to DAO governance voting, which, while valuable, doesn’t capture the full economic potential of the network. Stakeholders desire ARB to capture and reflect the network’s value. To achieve this, the DAO must execute two interrelated workstreams over the next two years:
Year 1 – Sustainability & Revenue Generation:
- Framework for Generating DAO Revenue: Conduct a thorough financial audit of existing revenue streams and project future revenue to establish multifaceted and sustainable income.
- Operational Alignment: Develop a comprehensive strategy to align DAO revenue channels with broader network activities, ensuring that revenue is reinvested to support ongoing operations.
- Initial Infrastructure Development: Build the technical and financial frameworks needed to support ARB’s utility as the core of the Arbitrum ecosystem.
Year 2 – ARB Staking & Real Yield Projections:
- Technical Infrastructure for ARB Staking: Continue to refine and deploy the infrastructure necessary for ARB staking, ensuring security and scalability.
- Real-Yield Framework: Develop and implement a framework for ARB staking that directly links staking returns to DAO revenue performance, ensuring that staking yields are tangible and reflect network performance.
- On-Chain Alignment: Deploy permissionless contracts with decentralized governance for on-chain revenue-sharing, with mechanisms to ensure ARB staking is activated when sustainable and attractive yield is available to distribute the underlying value generated by the network to ARB token holders.